Nemesis ‘tips his hand’
Nemesis goes on a mission to recruit Sun and uses the ploy that he is present to reunite her with Jin. However, Sun doesn’t trust Nemesis and runs away from him. Nemesis allows Sun to remain behind, leaving her for the time being. I believe he will try to get Sun to go along with him again, now that Widmore has taken Jin as his captive. It’s the perfect ploy to ensure Sun’s compliance.
Nemesis gave up his plan to Claire in their conversation. Claire is concerned about whether her name appears on the wall in the cave, and asks Nemesis if he saw it. Claire also expresses concern about Aaron not knowing her and believing that Aaron will view Kate as his mother and not her when she leaves ‘the island’. Nemesis reassures Claire that although her name has been crossed off in the cave, that Kate’s name is also crossed off. He further provides Claire with the reason why he needs and wants Kate with him. He tells Claire that Kate can help convince the others to join him and return to the outside world, aboard the Ajira plane.
Although the viewers saw the name of Littleton present and crossed off in the cave, Nemesis is lying about not seeing the name himself because Claire is not a candidate. He also views Claire as ‘crazy’, so she is expendable in his eyes in the long run. According to Lostpedia, the name of Littleton does not pertain to Aaron because he is not physically present on ‘the island’. We also learned from the Paley Fest interview with Damon and Carlton that Kate’s name is present on the cave wall, crossed off, indicating that Kate is not a ‘candidate’ either. The reasons for Kate’s ineligibility are unknown.
The names in Nemesis’ group that are present are: Sawyer, Kwon (Jin), and Sayid, albeit Sayid’s state of infection and declaration of being ‘soulless’. They are candidates.
By Nemesis making this admission to Claire and also telling her that he needs all ‘six’ people whose names appear on the cave wall (who are all candidates) to accompany him on the Ajira plane and leave ‘the island’; he is inadvertently admitting that he will be pursuing the other three candidates that are presently aligned with Jacob. They are, Jack, Hurley and Sun. These are the six candidates in total. Nemesis also later confirms this information, in his conversation with Jin.
Given that Ms. Hawking sent six people back to ‘the island’ as the ‘06’, it would appear that Nemesis also requires six people in order to leave ‘the island’ with him for a successful escape. His success relies upon this occurring and he seems determined. We now have more meaning as to how events need to be recreated on Nemesis’ behalf. We can also determine that Jacob is also setting his sights on ‘one’ successful candidate from the six candidates to become his new recruit. I suspect that the successful recruit, will be somebody who refutes Nemesis’ offer and chooses to remain loyal to Jacob’s cause.
This also gives us further insight into the ‘playing field’ that Jacob and Nemesis are ‘playing’ on. They are both fighting for the control and the commitment from the same pool of candidates. Perhaps, these were always the ‘rules’ that they have been playing by. Similar to an ‘endless loop’.…..one that Nemesis says he is tired of playing and just wants to go home, if that is the truth.
Considering all of those names on the cave wall and in the lighthouse, in addition to the length of time this endless scenario has been playing out, at least in terms since the arrival of the Black Rock or (perhaps longer) why the end now appears to be imminent. Perhaps it’s time for Nemesis to win, or for Jacob to find a way that ends it all, permanently. Jacob seems to be the individual who has always won by slowly proving his point. Perhaps this is how it has always played out and may continue to play out, unless a final resolution to this lengthy ‘tug-of-war’ between them is finally achieved and a victory is scored. What that means in terms of ‘the losties’ and for the future of humanity, still remains to be seen.