The Incident Revised! Now with less Jean-Claude Van Dam!
This all came out in the comments on the last theory I wrote’ actually that was more of a synopsis, but whatever. I wanted to put it out in an independent theory so here goes.
What the hell happened in the Season Five Finale and what might we expect to see in the Season Six Premier.
The episode ‘The Incident’ I thought, was a pretty great episode. It left me, as I’ve read that it left others, a little worried that the show might actually be getting slightly lazy in its misdirection techniques but I’m hoping for the best. After next season I think that the path they’ve taken will be pretty well laid out for us to see and we’ll be left to interpret the meaning of things for ourselves which really is the way it should be. For now though it seems possible that the only reason we can’t figure out exactly what is going on is because the actions of the characters aren’t making any sense. Please, oh please, tell me that’s not the case!
Anyway, back to what happened and what’s coming. Jack and Co. are on a mission to change the past! Shocker, right? The shocker to me is that he’s actually got the rest of those people helping him. Especially that he got Juliet and Sawyer to help. But did they succeed? I don’t think that they did. On the surface it seems like they might have. They planned to take a nuclear weapon to the site of the incident at the time when it happened (as planned by Daniel) and they did exactly that. But I still think that whatever happened, happened and that their actions actually set up the situation they found themselves in back in the future (2004).
What would have happened if they hadn’t done what they did? Well, Radzinsky would have drilled into the pocket of electromagnetism and I guess it would have sucked everything in, right? They might have all been killed. It goes back to a question I asked a long time ago when I was discussing the incident in a theory (although I came to the wrong conclusion). The question was “how the hell do they get the Swan Station and the protocol set up in time to avert complete disaster if the electromagnetic build-up reaches crititcal mass in only 108 minutes?”. I thought that it meant that the DHARMA Initiative knew ahead of time what would happen and caused the incident on purpose. This obviously isn’t the case. However, they would have been screwed if the Pasties hadn’t shown up! They would have had no way of plugging that leak and all hell would have broken loose!
So that’s what would have happened. But what actually did happen? Radzinsky is going ahead with the drilling despite the warnings from Sawyer and Dr. Chang. He drills into the pocket and things are going very badly but then the Pasties show up with a nuclear weapon. They attack the DI crew just as everything metal starts getting sucked into the hole. My, oh my! However will we stop this!?! The Pasties toss their thermonuclear weapon into the hole’ and nothing happens. Fighting continues and Juliet gets pulled down into the hole in one of the most gut-wrenching scenes on the show thus far. At the bottom of the hole she detonates the nuclear weapon, sealing the breach.
So they succeeded but did their plan work? I don’t think so. Radzinsky escaped and he really seemed determined to conduct his work. Before the Pasties showed up his experiments were doomed. He could drill into the pocket but it would be disastrous. Now though, he has some important information. He knows what he’s dealing with so he can come up with a protocol to safely dissipate the electromagnetism so he can work with it. He also knows how to seal the breach in case he needs to in an emergency. So he builds the Swan, puts the button pressing protocol into place, places a thermonuclear device in the hole, covers it with cement and attaches the detonator to the failsafe key.
So the Pasties have created exactly the situation they were trying to prevent. They prevented the disaster that the incident could have been by enabling the DI to put into place the protocols that will one day be briefly ignored by Desmond causing Flight 815 to crash on the island.
So what’s going to happen next? I think that the Pasties will flash (or have flashed already) back to 2007. They are the ‘they’ that Jacob says are coming. They are his chosen ones. What are they going to do when they get there? I don’t know. I think that Juliet will be like Desmond. Given the scenario I described above, Juliet has gone through exactly the same thing Desmond went through when he turned the failsafe key. We don’t know how he survived but he did. Whether she’ll be naked or not remains to be seen but you all know how I’m leaning on that one 😉
Speaking of Jacob’s chosen ones’ there are two characters who have played important roles in recent events, each in a different time period who Jacob has never spoken to (as far as we know). These two are Juliet and Ben. Juliet changes her mind and decides to help Jack which is why Sawyer is helping him which is probably why Jack has everyone helping him. If that isn’t a sufficiently significant contribution she’s the one who detonated the bomb. Why? She gave up and lost her faith in her love for Sawyer. She has no faith that what they have can work because of her parent’s divorce. She believes that all relationships eventually fail and that love is not enough to keep people together. Her flashback to that scene was one of the few (or the only) flashbacks in this episode that didn’t feature Jacob showing up to fix something or to make the character feel better. He ignored Juliet and for that she later lost her Faith. The other character is Ben whos significant act was to kill Jacob. He did it because Jacob has been ignoring him all his life even though Ben dedicated all of his actions to Jacob. Jacob ignored him and in the end, for that, he lost his faith and was easily seduced by the Fake Locke/Nemesis/Rival/Decepticon. What does that mean, I’m not really sure. I think it may be the point from this episode most worthy of discussion.
Thoughts? Comments? Donations?